Research: All Topics and Types

2017. Race, Resources, and Representation: Evidence from Brazilian Politicians. Forthcoming (April 2017), World Politics (69) 1 (with Natália S. Bueno).

2016. Transparency and Reproducibility in Multi-Method Research. Revista de Ciencia Política 36 (3): 773-83 (with Fernando Rosenblatt).

2016. Transparency, Replication, and Cumulative Learning: What Experiments Alone Cannot Achieve. Annual Review of Political Science 19: 541-63.

2014. Positive vs. Negative Incentives for Compliance: Evaluating a Randomized Tax Holiday (Pre-analysis plan) (with Felipe Monestier, Rafael Piñeiro, Fernando Rosenblatt, and Guadalupe Tuñón), 7/23/14. First amendment (10/19/2014). Mock analysis of administrative data. Second amendment with mock analysis of survey data. Revision to Table 7.3 (omitted from second amendement).

2014. Improving Process Tracing: The Case of Multi-Method Research (pre-proof version). In Andrew Bennett and Jeffrey Checkel, eds., Process Tracing in the Social Sciences: From Metaphor to Analytic Tool. Cambridge University Press.

2013. Brokers, Voters, and Clientelism: The Puzzle of Distributive Politics.” Cambridge University Press (with Susan Stokes, Marcelo Nazareno, and Valeria Brusco).

Winner of the Luebbert Book Award for best book in comparative politics, American Political Science Association (2014); Winner of the Best Book award from APSA’s Comparative Democratization section; Honorable Mention, 2011 Best Paper Award, Comparative Democratization Section of APSA (with Susan Stokes, for a paper based on Chapter 8).

2013. Ethnic Quotas and Political Mobilization: Caste, Parties, and Distribution in Indian Village Councils. American Political Science Review 107 (1): 35-56 (with Janhavi Nilekani). Background materials, including survey instruments and the Online Appendix, are here.

2012. Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach. Cambridge University Press.

Co-Winner, Best Book Award, Experimental Research Section of the American Political Science Association.

2012. Natural and Field Experiments in the Study of Latin American Politics. In Peter Kingstone and Deborah Yashar, eds., Routledge Handbook of Latin American Politics. Routledge (Taylor & Francis).

2011. Fighting and Voting: Violent Conflict and Electoral Politics. Introduction to a special issue of Journal of Conflict Resolution, 55 (3): 327 – 339.

2011. Does Blocking Reduce Attrition Bias? Newsletter of the Experimental Section of the American Political Science Association. May 2011.

2010. Race, Class, and Voter Preferences in Brazil. Working Paper, Department of Political Science, Yale University. Background materials are here.

2010. The Politics of Language, Race, and Class: Experimental Evidence from South Africa. Working Paper, Department of Political Science, Yale University. Background materials are here.

2010. Do Quotas Promote Ethnic Solidarity? Field and Natural Experimental Evidence from India. Working paper, Department of Political Science, Yale University. Background materials are here.

2010. Instrumental Variables. Prepared for inclusion in the International Encyclopedia of Political Science.

2010. Natural Experiments. Prepared for inclusion in the International Encyclopedia of Political Science.

2010. Design-Based Inference: Beyond the Pitfalls of Regression Analysis? In David Collier and Henry Brady, eds., Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2nd edition.

2010. Cross-Cutting Cleavages and Ethnic Voting: An Experimental Study of Cousinage in Mali. American Political Science Review 104 (1): 21-39 (with Lauren Harrison). Background and replication materials are here.

Runner-Up, Award for Best Paper Published on African Politics in 2010, African Politics Conference Group of the APSA/MPSA/ISA/ASA

2010. Endogenous Oil Rents. Comparative Political Studies 43 (4). A supplementary figure showing the Venezuelan state’s take of net oil income is here.

2009. Comment on Daniel Lederman and William Maloney, “In Search of the Missing Resource Curse.” 2009. Economia 9 (1).

2009. Direct Action and Associational Participation: The Problem-Solving Repertoires of Individuals. 2009. In Ruth Berins Collier and Samuel P. Handlin, eds., Reorganizing Popular Politics: Participation and the New Interest Regime in Latin America Penn State University Press.

2008.Crude Democracy: Natural Resource Wealth and Political Regimes. 2008. Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics, Cambridge University Press.

Winner, Best Book Award, Comparative Democratization Section of the American Political Science Association; Gaddis Smith International Book Prize; and the Mancur Olson Prize from the Political Economy Section of the APSA (for the dissertation on which the book is based).

2008. Model Specification in Instrumental-Variables Regression. Political Analysis 16 (3): 290-302. Online version published as doi:10.1093/pan/mpm039 (February 10, 2008). The preprint version is also available here; simulations discussed in the article are here. Stata code for the simulations is in a rich-text format file here.

2008. Improving Causal Inference: Strengths and Limitations of Natural Experiments. Political Research Quarterly 61 (2): 282-293. Online version is also available here (October 3, 2007).

2008. The Analysis of Experimental Data: Comparing Techniques. Working paper (with Susan Hyde). Presented at the annual meetings of the American Political Science Association, Boston, MA, August 29-September 1, 2008.

2008.Natural and Field Experiments: The Role of Qualitative Methods. Qualitative Methods 6 (2) (Newsletter of the American Political Science Association’s Organized Section on Qualitative Methods).

2008. Review of John Gerring, Case Study Research: Principles and Practices, Cambridge University Press. 2008. In The Journal of Politics, 70 (1): 282-83. Advance version online as doi:10.1017/S0022381607080243.

2007. Modeling Selection Effects. In William Outhwaite and Stephen P. Turner, eds., The SAGE Handbook of Social Science Methodology. London: Sage Publications (with David Freedman).

2007. The Role of Iteration in Multi-Method Research. Qualitative Methods (Newsletter of the American Political Science Association’s Organized Section on Qualitative Methods), 5 (1). Click here to see the complete symposium on multi-method research and here to see the entire issue of the newsletter.

2007. Report to a committee of the National Academy of Sciences on improving USAID program evaluation: Field memos from Peru. . The committee’s full report is available online here.

2005. Resource Dependence, Economic Performance and Political Stability. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Volume 49, Number 4: 451-482.

2005. Classic Questions, New Contexts: Development in an Era of Bits and Bytes. Introduction to Taylor Boas and Thad Dunning, eds., special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development, 40 (2) (with Taylor Boas). Click here to see the full special issue.

2005. Will the Digital Revolution Revolutionize Development? Drawing Together the Debate. Conclusion to Taylor Boas and Thad Dunning, eds., special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development, 40 (2) (with Taylor Boas and Jennifer Bussell). Click here to see the full special issue.

2004. Conditioning the Effects of Aid: Cold War Politics, Donor Credibility, and Democracy in Africa. International Organization, 58 (2), Spring 2004. Replication data are available as text and .csv files.

2004. Oil and the Political Economy of Conflict in Colombia and Beyond: A linkages approach. Geopolitics, 9 (1) (with Leslie Wirpsa).

2004. Transplants to Hybrids: Exploring Institutional Pathways to Growth. Introduction to Thad Dunning and Grigore Pop-Eleches, eds., “Institutions for Economic Development: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach,” a special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development, 38 (4) (with Grigore Pop-Eleches). Click here to see the full special issue.

2004. Creating Social Facts: Alternative Approaches to Autonomous Action and Political Change. Paper presented at the annual meetings of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Illinois, September 2-5, 2004.