Articles and Chapters

Forthcoming. Decentralization and Ethnic Diversity. In Jonathan Rodden and Erik Wibbles, eds., Decentralization and Development in Practice: Assessing the Evidence. Cambridge University Press.

2017. Contingency and Determinism in Research on Critical Junctures:
Avoiding the “Inevitability Framework.”
Qualitative and Multimethod Research, Spring 2017: 41-47. For all the contributions to this symposium on critical junctures, see here.

2017. Race, Resources, and Representation: Evidence from Brazilian Politicians. Forthcoming (April 2017), World Politics (69) 2: 327-65 (with Natália S. Bueno).

2016. What Experiments Can and Cannot Achieve in Political Science. Annual Review of Political Science.

2016. Transparency and Reproducibility in Multi-Method Research. Revista de Ciencia Política 36 (3): 773-83 (with Fernando Rosenblatt).

2016. Transparency, Replication, and Cumulative Learning: What Experiments Alone Cannot Achieve. Annual Review of Political Science 19: 541-63.

2013. Ethnic Quotas and Political Mobilization: Caste, Parties, and Distribution in Indian Village Councils. American Political Science Review. 107 (1): 35-56. Background materials are here and Online Appendix is here.

2011. Fighting and Voting: Violent Conflict and Electoral Politics. Introduction to a special issue of Journal of Conflict Resolution, 55 (3): 327 – 339.

2010. Design-Based Inference: Beyond the Pitfalls of Regression Analysis? In David Collier and Henry Brady, eds., Rethinking Social Inquiry: Diverse Tools, Shared Standards. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2nd edition.

2010. Cross-Cutting Cleavages and Ethnic Voting: An Experimental Study of Cousinage in Mali. American Political Science Review 104 (1): 21-39 (with Lauren Harrison). Background and replication materials are here.

2010. Endogenous Oil Rents. Comparative Political Studies 43 (4). A supplementary figure showing the Venezuelan state’s take of net oil income is here.

2009. Direct Action and Associational Participation: The Problem-Solving Repertoires of Individuals. 2009. In Ruth Berins Collier and Samuel P. Handlin, eds., Reorganizing Popular Politics: Participation and the New Interest Regime in Latin America Penn State University Press.

2008. Model Specification in Instrumental-Variables Regression. Political Analysis 16 (3): 290-302. Online version published as doi:10.1093/pan/mpm039 (February 10, 2008). The preprint version is also available here; simulations discussed in the article are here. Stata code for the simulations is in a rich-text format file here.

2008. Improving Causal Inference: Strengths and Limitations of Natural Experiments. Political Research Quarterly 61 (2): 282-293. Online version is also available here (October 3, 2007).

2007. Modeling Selection Effects. In William Outhwaite and Stephen P. Turner, eds., The SAGE Handbook of Social Science Methodology. London: Sage Publications (with David Freedman).

2005. Resource Dependence, Economic Performance and Political Stability. Journal of Conflict Resolution, Volume 49, Number 4: 451-482.

2005. Classic Questions, New Contexts: Development in an Era of Bits and Bytes. Introduction to Taylor Boas and Thad Dunning, eds., special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development, 40 (2) (with Taylor Boas). Click here to see the full special issue.

2005. Will the Digital Revolution Revolutionize Development? Drawing Together the Debate. Conclusion to Taylor Boas and Thad Dunning, eds., special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development, 40 (2) (with Taylor Boas and Jennifer Bussell). Click here to see the full special issue.

2004. Conditioning the Effects of Aid: Cold War Politics, Donor Credibility, and Democracy in Africa. International Organization, 58 (2), Spring 2004. Replication data are available as text and .csv files.

2004. Oil and the Political Economy of Conflict in Colombia and Beyond: A linkages approach. Geopolitics, 9 (1) (with Leslie Wirpsa).

2004. Transplants to Hybrids: Exploring Institutional Pathways to Growth. Introduction to Thad Dunning and Grigore Pop-Eleches, eds., “Institutions for Economic Development: A Cross-Disciplinary Approach,” a special issue of Studies in Comparative International Development, 38 (4) (with Grigore Pop-Eleches). Click here to see the full special issue.